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War in Ukraine. It’s Closer Than You Think.

Ukraine has become a three-ring circus. I just watched FOX News criticize, negatively, the comparison of Putin’s invasion of Ukraine to Hitler’s aggression pre-WWII. This is pathetic ignorance on the part of FOX. They clearly do not have a firm grasp on history.

The fact is that every move the little Russian jerkoff has made since the early Georgia incursions have been almost word for word, action for action, directly out of the Hitler playbook. My favorite has always been how the little Russian twerp invaded all the territories in an effort to “defend Russian (German) speaking peoples” being persecuted in these regions.

History, as well as contemporaneous information in the late 1930’s clearly shows that there was no such persecution taking place. There was none of that in the present day. But both Hitler, and now the Russian with a penis complex, both made that nonsense up. Everybody knew it then and now. So FOX showed monumental ignorance in questioning the comparison. It is 100% accurate.

THAT SAID…we now have a nearly mature Mexican stand-off in place. The US has spent in 8 months more than we spent in the first 5 years of the Afghan war. Europe is following suit. That creates a de facto NATO membership for Ukraine. NATO cannot dump this much treasure on the effort and then just stand by while Putin annexes more than a third of Ukraine, including Crimea.

This may all be academic, as Zelenskyy signed an expedited application for NATO membership just today. I can’t wait to see who has the balls, right or wrong, to be the first to oppose it. I suspect it will be our newest member, Sweden. But there will be monumental domestic battles in all NATO countries as to the admission of Ukraine.

Add to that the rhetoric of one Lindsay Graham. That guy never saw an armed conflict or potential conflict he didn’t want to push us into. He is calling for Biden (actually Biden’s controllers, Biden runs nothing) to declare that a nuke attack on Ukraine is a Nuke attack on NATO. There is some value in the thinking. A realistic threat can prevent a host of stupid moves.

But this is the type of message best delivered by someone of significant reputation in private. You don’t do nuclear talk on the evening news. You have those discussions in a serious way that lets the 12 year-old in the Kremlin know that you are going to take his soccer ball and beat him up in words that even he will understand is not a bluff. By doing press conferences about it you risk forcing him to try to prove his manhood.


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May I humbly suggest Trump’s turncoat national Security advisor, John Bolton. He’s a wide-eyed, neocon hawk. If he were quietly recruited to deliver an ironclad message to Putin, Putin would have to take it seriously. But, for god’s sake, don’t send Blinken. And you don’t have the debate on 24-hour news cycle!

Of course, all this assumes there is a trace of honesty in the Regime and their Ukraine policies and actions. We’ve already demonstrated on this website that the war could have been avoided but was permitted to proceed. It is possible the Regime regrets this now. But it is just as likely the war will end in Russian victory, to the Regime’s satisfaction.

Finally, the American people have to have the larger discussion with their families and each other. Is Ukraine worth real confrontation? From a hardcore position of our own national security, I couldn’t care less if every non-essential Ukrainian fell into a sinkhole. BUT Ukraine is the breadbasket of a large portion of the world. We know the Little Russian jerkoff will not be satiated by just defeating Ukraine. He’s as nutty about reestablishing the entire Soviet Union, PLUS SATELLITE NATIONS, as the crazy little corporal was about reestablishing the pre-Weimar Germany plus Austria.

Do you want Adolf Putin to have this power?

There is not a trace of light between Hitler, Stalin or Putin in their politics, corruption, ambition and sadism. While Ukraine has proven to be corrupt in the past and Zelenzkyy did not have time to really prove himself in this regard, I believe there is more hope in a free Ukraine than in a Russian victory. But YOU must decide, as the people would be called upon to fight the would-be Soviet or swallow a Russian victory (Western defeat). That is the selection presently on offer.

People to be screaming at: Find your Republican SERVANTS on this link.  CALL them and tell them to get hot on this NOW!  Hell, call the Dems too.  You might find one or two who won’t get loose stools over it.

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Are We at WAR? Then Develop Some COURAGE!

How in the name of all that’s holy (if you go in for that sort of thing) did we become the people we now are?  We’ve become so gullible, malleable.  How does a people win a war when these are the qualities of the soldier?

The Fronts

In this war there are  5 basic fronts.  There are the Social, Medical, Economic, Political and International.  These can be broken down further but they will do for our purposes.  And they are all heavily intertwined.  Some more so than others.

The Social cannot be disentangled from the Medical.  At the moment the Medical is at the mercy of the Political.  And the Economic is being treated like a pariah.  Almost every day you hear people disparage those of us concerned with the Economic front as being heartless monsters more concerned with “wealth over health”.  Such a pithy phrase. Such a nonsensical sentiment. There is no REAL health without wealth.  Or put more correctly, no sustained health without a strong, functioning economy. The most dangerous fronts in this war will turn out to be the Political and the International.

The Social Front: Social Engineering

Last night I called my granddaughter who live three states away.  My son suggested I call beck because everyone was “social distancing” on the front porch.  People had stopped by to see them.  He didn’t say Jackie and Russ came to visit.  He said “social distancing”.

In our present war, this new verb is the personal ammunition you’ve been issued to stand up and fight.  The social engineering needed to protect ourselves and those in the same trenches, masks, 6 feet, gloves, sanitizer, etc., are your bullets.  But the rounds are no good sitting in a cartridge box.

While practicing good hygiene is always key to avoiding sickness, sitting in your house 24/7 is not practicing good hygiene.  It is hiding.  It makes you the coward, curled up at the bottom of the trench, refusing to squeeze off a round, expecting your comrades to protect you while they risk injury and death.

Too harsh?  Nah.  Because most of you are not actually doing that.  While collective, irrational fear, in many cases mandated from the governing class prevents you from going to work, what have you actually been doing?  Many have been going to the store. (So much for containment. Your mask and gloves protect you a little, but the you carry whatever you were actually exposed to into your house!  It’s on the outside of that warm, moist mask you were wearing!). And that’s fine.  When you need food or TP you’ve got to go.

Think goddammit!  If you can hygiene your way through a trip to the store, you can do the same at work!  This slides toward the Economic and Medical fronts, but you see the point. What have we accomplished?  Very little.  We’ve retarded the spread of this virus temporarily.  But it is out there waiting for us. And it will be when this self quarantine nonsense goes away.

Prediction

As I said in my last piece, you already had, do have or will have Covid in your system.  Few will avoid it altogether.  Some will get sick.  Here is my prediction.  Once we’ve managed to test a substantial number of people we will find that few who carry it will have gotten sick and far fewer than numbers tell us now will die from Covid. Further, we will inevitably find out that many who were counted among the fatalities from the virus will have been judged to have died from Covid-19 with decapitation or massive coronary listed as a complication.  So actual fatalities, as a percentage of those infected, will drop much further.

But for the sake of argument let’s say that this virus is as fatal as early numbers suggest without knowing the real numbers.  We are still hiding under our beds from something that must be faced.  We will not destroy our society by facing it and living our lives albeit with some novel cautions. But we might by continuing to hide.

NEXT: The Medical Front

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The United States on the World Stage: Slow-Motion Train Wreck

7 October 2019

The Slow-Motion Train Wreck.

Today’s foreign affairs headline reflects, in microcosm, our status as the “world super power.” We are no longer that, of course. We are an international train wreck. Specifically, what your are about to read is why I put chapter 16 in Street Politics: It Ain’t Your Daddy’s GOP Anymore. More generally, realities like what you’ll see below are why I wrote the book.

Let me preface by saying that precious few who read this will come away with the intended message. The reason for that is simple. Folks who read political/social commentary tend to lean in one strong direction or another. In today’s childish political environment that mostly equates to the two camps of I-LOVE-EVERYTHING-ABOUT-TRUMP (ILEAT) or TRUMP-IS-THE-ANTICHRIST (TITA). Both camps are brain damaged and rarely capable of real discourse.

The ILEAT believes that POTUS is a genius. No matter how stupid or immature his comments or tweets, they are convinced the gaffes are really signs of an underlying genius that only ILEAT members have the gift to understand. They believe he authored the tax reduction and actually “cured” us of Obamacare. He did neither. They believe that a wall, because he told them so, was going to solve out illegal immigration problem. It won’t. But don’t tell ILEAT that.

This cadre also believes that Donald Trump really is the greatest dealmaker of all time. A dealmaker he may be (there is doubt about who actually negotiated his deals in civilian life) but that hasn’t served him well so far in his international dealings and that is what we will discuss here.

And let’s face it, 1600 words is nothing. But for the average voter right now it’s considered a tough slog.

Look at North Korea, Hong Kong, Europe, China, Iran. They are taking advantage of Trump’s overtures to gain legitimacy. In the case of North Korea and Iran it is ONLY in Trump’s talk of making deals with them that they have even the pretense of legitimacy. But… in order to make the “beautiful, beautiful” deals the Donald claims are on the horizon, he needs people on the other side who want to make a deal. So far, none of them do, so they string him along with hints of deals and short, meaningless “negotiations”.

On the TITA side you have the idiots who think everything wrong with the US, especially foreign affairs, is the fault of Donald J. Trump. This is even more absurd than the former group.

Whether you agree with Trump’s approach or not (I don’t) there is one truth that can only be denied by the most credulous and ignorant: He is at least trying to move us back onto the world stage and regain some power and prestige.

Generations of politicians before him, both legislative and executive, have slowly ground away our position in the world mostly through a combination of incompetence, cowardice and cruelty. I’ll explain how that is still true today. Trump’s immediate predecessor actually took sides AGAINST America’s interests from his infamous apology tour through his standing shoulder-to-shoulder with the mullahs, against his own people, to guarantee Iran nuclear weapons by 2024.

Trump may be flailing from scheme to scheme, but he is at least trying. I will also credit him thusly: I think much of what we have seen of our policies throughout the Middle East are the result of advice going to Trump from advisors who have no greater concept of success there than he has.

So, with all that said, why write the article at all?

Someone has to say it.

One other caveat: This is not intended as an argument for or against new adventures in foreign lands. It is a critique of our existing ones.

If you prefer to get straight to the big picture, read the book.

So let’s dive in.

The morning headlines announced Trump’s reversal of his December reversal of his previous announcement that we were leaving Northern Syria. Back in December, when he first blurted out that we were leaving the region it became immediately clear that he was acting on impulse and had not sought the advice of the Pentagon or the Joint Chiefs. When they had a collective conniption, Trump quickly said we would stay to protect the Kurds (loyal allies) from Turkey’s clear intention to wipe them out. This morning? Meh…not so much.

From Korea to Iraq and Afghanistan we can now add Syria to the list of places where we wasted American and foreign lives for ABSOLUTELY NOTHING. In most cases, we have then left those who fought by our side to be broken by the enemy, as is now the case with the Kurds.

The poor, pathetic Kurds. Three times in three decades we sought their support in our ham-handed dealings in Iraq, and now Syria. Three times they took our side asking that we be there for them, if not to help them gain the independence they sought, then at least to keep them from being overrun by their enemies. And now, again, we have failed them.

Remember, it was Bashir al-Assad, emboldened by Barack Obama’s fecklessness, who decided to break from his father’s harsh but pragmatic style and start to crush his opponents overtly. Obama’s repeated lack of response (no law said he had to respond) left a power vacuum too tempting for Russia to resist. Assad had made too many domestic enemies. Seducing him was a cakewalk for Putin. 

In regaining a foothold in the Mediterranean not enjoyed since the 70’s, Russia made a cold calculation to let ISIS run free in northern Syria. Their presence there and in Northern Iraq, on real estate we paid for with blood – more than once – was icing on the cake for both Putin and Assad. They knew our position in Iraq was severely diminished thanks to Obama’s intentional destruction of the previous Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA). Even the sorry, corrupt government in Iraq at the time knew Obama didn’t care how many American lives were lost there when he sent Joe “Duh” Biden to “renegotiate” (SOFA) less than a month before it expired.

This set the stage for Iran to become the dominant force over the area we had fought for.

With the US busy in Iraq, Assad could continue to gas villages sympathetic to his internal enemies. If we moved against Syria, we would be the aggressors, on paper anyway.


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And the situation didn’t improve with age. Obama played paddy cake with ISIS and Putin for the final years of his presidency. His obsequious use of the term ISIL (even ISIS didn’t use the self-aggrandizing term for themselves anymore) throughout made it even more distasteful to watch.

The Trump administration reinvigorated W’s limited war practice to just barely rid Iraq and part of Syria of ISIS. Now, with the help of Turkey, ISIS is reconstituting as we speak.

The only locals who actually fought effectively through all this were the Kurds.

And so we come full circle. This is the same Turkey who will roll right past our people in the region and try to stomp the remaining Kurdish forces there into a fine paste. The Donald is making tough noises about this, “I’ll wreck your economy” and such. But that is for domestic consumption. If Turkey respected Trump they wouldn’t be sheltering ISIS or pushing into Syria to kill Kurds. They are doing both.

This post isn’t about whether we should involve ourselves in these places. That ship has sailed. The fact is, under an endless succession of post-Vietnam yes-men, we ARE there. We have once again wasted American lives and not pushed the contest to an advantageous outcome.

The few reading this who understand how the world actually works, get it. But the others?…

To the TITAs among you: Did Trump’s predecessors do any better? While I disagree with his approach to our present situation, I would contend POTUS is doing as well or better than any of his predecessors since WWII. That’s a REALLY LOW goddamn bar.

To the ILEATs; However we feel about Iraq (I don’t think we needed to go there) what of our actions since?  All those Americans killed and injured taking territory – in the case of some cities, more than once. Did they do it so Iran could take control of two thirds of the fucking country? And the guys who fought ISIS, was that so the nut bags could take cover in Turkey and come back later? How do we sum this up? Was it all just a fucking gesture? Do we now get to “harrumph” everyone and walk away having accomplished nothing, or worse leaving the field to a happier, healthier enemy (Iran)?

I’ll answer all those questions for you. No, Trump’s predecessors have done no better. They were all gullible enough to think limited war is a good idea. (Some jerkoff in the last 20 or so years came up with the term asymmetrical warfare as a synonym for limited war. It sounds so POWER POINT!) And yes, we are going to treat the sacrifices, both ours and those of our enemies, as a vapid gesture and we are going to walk away.

 

Thank you TITAs and ILEATs. Thanks to all who think war is good or bad based on who is president at the time. And of course, thanks to the governing class. Because of you, we WILL do this all again after we finally absent ourselves from Afghanistan and Iraq. That’s because many reading this are hopping mad right now – not at the situation, but at me – and you are incapable of learning.

All the other foreign debacles I mentioned at the outset will play out just as well. Some of that will be Trump’s fault. But his predecessors teed all of it up, especially in the cases of China and North Korea.

Oh, hell. Just read the damn book.

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soldier:  Photo Credit: <a href=”https://www.flickr.com/photos/152139242@N07/47928990378/”>Katzencie ♡</a> Flickr via <a href=”http://compfight.com”>Compfight</a> <a href=”https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/”>cc</a>