Posted on

Beware! Mindblowing Lunacy Looms.

THE UPCOMING LUNACY WILL BE INEXCUSABLE. But half of you will buy into it.

I haven’t been writing as much as I had in the past. One big reason is the impossibly irrational atmosphere we live in today. As a political commentator, I am left at a loss as to where to inject reason into any argument.  But looking ahead, if you can believe it, we have more lunacy coming down the pike.

The COVID hysteria has not helped at all.

But there is an important event on the horizon that you need to pay attention to. It is urgent enough for me to look past the endless nonsense of look downs and mask arguments to give you a heads-up.

The track record of the “chicken littles” has been to keep you in a constant state of worry and fear since they decided to finally take the Chinese Plague seriously in March of this year. The reason for that is purely political. The people who cry the loudest about politicizing a virus are the ones who have made it nothing else.

A preview of the upcoming event occurred when the CDC and most states agreed it was time to reopen the economy (That’s the thing we never should have shut down as it turns out. I would contend we haven’t saved a single life doing so. I’ll explain that later.) We were warned of the obvious fact that when we reopened there would be spikes in COVID cases. Everyone agreed to that.


Ad

Cool Gifts.


We’ll just pretend we didn’t hear it.

Then we started to bring businesses online. Restaurateurs and others who depend on a constant flow of consumables and/or perishables dumped all they had into restarting. Within a week, and during a time of increased testing, GASP, there were more cases of Red Death reported!

Did our brave, strong nation say, “Okay, we knew this would happen. Be careful, weigh your risks and push ahead!”? Noooo. Half the nation and all the places run by Democrats reverted to blind panic and victimized those same struggling businesses we already screwed. But this time they were double screwed because they were not going to see a return on the extra expense they had to put up to reopen.  This was on top of their previous losses.

This is the same idiocy you WILL witness in coming weeks. This is how it will shake out.

Remember you heard it here first.

In mid to late November the flu will start to emmerge. Kids will start getting the flu. The flu is infinitely more dangerous for children than the ChiComm Fever. So in order to justify many months of the nonsense we’ve already seen, and in order to pull in that good federal spending associated with the COVID, ALL the kids reporting with flu will be listed as “suspected” COVID cases. After testing, positive or negative, they will be counted as COVID related. When the flu starts killing our children as it does every year, those dead children and their families will be exploited. First their deaths will be listed as COVID or COVID related. There will be little or no consideration for whether they actually had the virus. The press will hunt down as many of these families as they can and will feature their wretched grief every half hour on the idiot box. Some of those families (yes, there are people this debase out there) will eagerly participate in the exploitation of their dead child.

How’s that for inexcusable lunacy?

Photo Credit: Ichkäfer Flickr via Compfight cc

Don’t doubt me on this.  Since the outbreak of this thing, every single person who tested positive for COVID, who subsequently died, has been listed as a COVID death.  The term is “COVID-related”. It counts against the national death count. And it is counted regardless of whether the patient exhibited COVID symptoms.

And the battle cry will be, of course, Donald Trump killed our children because he didn’t stop COVID. They are already saying it about adult deaths every single day. It isn’t true. He was negotiating the development of COVID antibodies two months before his detractors stopped saying he was hyping the disease for political reasons. These same assholes now claim they were “ahead” of Trump since the start of the pandemic.

So, yeah, all the same people will lie shamelessly over the coffins of our kids who die of flu. And the tribal drones who quote them today, calling it “science”, will sadly nod and agree with this new narrative later.

This will happen. Even though I am writing this now; even though others will make the same predictions soon; you will see this new narrative emerge.

The Point I Promised

I said earlier that we have not “saved” a single life with the lock-downs and other restrictions. If we have the true numbers “saved” are utterly negligible. How do we know this? Well, as early as June 66% of those coming down with COVID said they were wearing masks, participating in restrictions and social distancing.[1]   As of today, 26 October 20, we are seeing spikes in cities all over the country. Everywhere you go, 99% of the people are keeping their distance and wearing masks. Major cities are still under draconian lock downs or other restrictions. And the numbers still continue to spike occasionally.

The tribal drones will tell you this is because of the 1%, the selfish people who don’t wear masks or live their lives as normal.

[loud game show buzzer]

Sorry kiddies. You can’t have your argument both ways (although you always assume to with other issues like climate change). If wearing masks works and social distancing works and staying out of restaurants works, then you should be safe and healthy despite what the mean, selfish people do.

Ah, but you have been going to restaurants and bars and Walmart and parties too, haven’t you? You have made your own risk assessment, even unconsciously, and gone about YOUR life. And despite all your cautions and virtue signaling the virus continues. It will accelerate as the weather gets colder and we spend more time indoors, masks or no masks. If you don’t want to catch it, stay home. Don’t go to Walmart. Don’t go to restaurants. Don’t have parties at your house. Don’t go to work.

If you do any of those things, there is NOTHING you can do to avoid exposure. And the onus is on you to make your own risk assessment and no one else.

[1] Speaking only STATISTICALLY, that figure says if you wear a mask you have a 44% greater chance of acquiring COVID than if you do not.   In fact, all weekly average increases can be accredited to the gradually increasing number of tests capturing a wider and wider number of positives. But it still makes the mask fetish look less effective.


 Travel back to the happy, carefree days of 2015-16, when the only worry we all had was Trump vs Clinton.  Perhaps we can find ideas to help us cope with the national nuthouse we all live in now! Click here!  

Posted on

Irrational Panic

“Irrational Panic” is actually an older article.  I have been wrestling with my website for a few days.

How do you create irrational panic? Simple. You employ irrational propaganda.

I’ll begin with a statement that will be most ignored. I know COVID-19 is a real illness and that for some people it can be deadly. This is not to be taken lightly. In response to this article, the groupthink dingbats will pretend I never said that so they can continue to quote the non-scientific, sky-is-falling pronouncements we have been bombarded with for months now.

The one thing you can say about the “scientific” approach to the present pandemic is that the response to it has been anything but scientific. I will give you just a couple of examples.

Modeling

Modeling is a science only in that it is an exercise in statistics. The science of it ends there. And as a tool, modeling is rarely used in a scientific fashion. Of all the mathematical disciplines out there, modeling is the one most abused to achieve the ends of the modeler.

Take the hurricane prognostications we get every year before hurricane season. In an effort to get the group thinking along a line of preparation and (perhaps) a healthy fear, NOAA almost always announces a season that will be more active than other seasons. How do they do this? Modeling. They put an arbitrary or subjective set of parameters into a program and then start to add even more arbitrary, sometimes ridiculous assumptions to run against the parameters. When they get what looks like a desired result they announce their “findings”. And they are ALMOST ALWAYS WRONG.

The predictions are released, the expected numbers of storms are announced and then they are ratcheted up or down mid-season to reflect what is actually happening. The argument for this approach is that if we don’t do worst-case predictions the people won’t be smart enough to prepare for hurricanes. To address that I would say you need to check in with Chicken Little.

It is all as scientific as the sports caster who calls winners and losers on Thursday and spends Monday explaining how he would have been right except for a series of extraneous circumstances.


Ad

This stimulus money is awesome, isn’t it?  But where to spend it?  Hmmm… Wait! I know! Try here!

Or you can be boring and spend it on something essential like food or 72 more rolls of toilet paper.

This is more fun!


And so goes the non-scientific battle with the Red Death. Nakedly motivated with producing a result that will keep you shaking in your Danskins, the “modelers” create assumptions that have proven time and again to be inaccurate, often to the point of being completely useless. So far, the higher the predicted cases and deaths a model has produced, the more inaccurate they have proven to be.

But they sure have the people buffaloed. I hear constantly remarks to the tune of…it doesn’t matter. At least, if people listen (one of my friends even employed the term obedience) then they won’t get sick and possibly die.

For those folks I have the saddest news: both the obedient and disobedient will all die, not at all likely from COVID.

Social Distancing

Ah, yes, the new verb. Folks are proudly joining the group, as I said in a past article, and declaring that they too, are social distancing. They post pictures on social media, clad in masks standing a prescribed distance from friends and loved ones. That’s great.

But there are a few problems here. One, there is no science behind it; quite the opposite. And two, they may be doing as much harm as good.

Early on, Drs. Fauci, and Brix along with the Surgeon General and the TV medicos ALL said that wearing masks as a response to COVID is counter productive. One reason is because people fidget with them. The result is that if you are not conditioned for years to wear a mask professionally you touch your face an average of 28 times per hour, usually to fuss with the mask.

I have witnessed this myself at a number of critical locations like Lowe’s and Walmart. Especially among the young, I notice people who take their masks on and off while chatting to each other. I have seen more than one being spun on a finger like a lifeguard’s whistle. If any of them have actually been exposed to COVID or any other pathogen…that’s right. They are inhaling it now and spreading it actively.

More on the mask.

A surgical mask has VERY limited use. Doctors are only supposed to use their mask to see a patient and then get a new one of they are to see another patient. Wearing one mask over several visits will protect the doctor, so long as he doesn’t fuss with it or swing it around like a whistle. But he doesn’t protect his patients.

(Update: 5/20/20.  Studies say the effectiveness of masks run between 25% and 80% against COVID. I am going out on a limb and saying the difference in the results stem from the difference on the tests. Herre is a anecdotal reference.  When working in the woodshop, if not wearing a mask, the results are easy to see.  When I blow my nose, the results are brown and black from saw dust.  BUT when I use a mask, this includes N90, …the results are the same.  That’s because I wear the mask for a long time and they are not very efficient.  The only truly efficient masks are the hard shell masks with replaceable filters and an airtight fit.)

While you breath, your mask becomes warm and moist. Over an hour or so it become a Petri dish on your face. If you have seen one patient and get to close to another you shed, from the mask, whatever you inhaled into it from the previous patient.

Then there are the unforgivably stupid people (this includes a dentist I once visited) who wear a mask with their nose sticking out over the top. Really? Jackasses! With a little luck these morons will get sick and get off the streets for a couple weeks.

The Surgeon General, Jerome Adams, is the only professional who has stuck to his guns on this issue. The others know the mask, after the first hour or less, is pure placebo. But they figure if it makes the public more comfortable and protects them for the first 20 minutes or so during a given day, well that’s alright. It also helps foster an atmosphere that we have tried to create when we have millions of people running around masked.

And that is why I mentioned propaganda. That is what the government approach to “fighting” COVID has been. It certainly isn’t science. Even the distancing is pure propaganda. Are the intentions good? Sure. Is the 6-foot rule effective? Sometimes? It depends. But the rule is literally the result of the following science.

Bureaucrat 1: So what do we tell them? Stand back from each other? How far?

Bureaucrat 2: That’s a good idea. How about 3 feet?

Bureaucrat 1: No. That probably wouldn’t hammer home the safety thing. 10?

Bureaucrat 2: No way! Too far. Most places wouldn’t have the room.

Bureaucrat 1: 6?

Bureaucrat 2: Yeah, I suppose. That sounds reasonable.

That’s it. There is no science associated with 6 feet. And if two people are moving in the same direction, there is absolutely no value to the rule since person number 1 passes point A followed by person number 2 within one second. If number 1 sneezes, coughs or even exhales number 2 gets it right in the kisser.

So, yeah. The distancing, the masks, they are all the result of successful propaganda. Not good, not bad. At best, the effectiveness is nearly random. The damage isn’t the propaganda. It is the ensuing group think. Every politician, looking to capitalize on the event has jumped on the band wagon. More and more restrictions were placed on the population “out an abundance of caution”, of course.

But no golf? No walking on a  20-foot wide, miles-long promenades? No kayaking ALONE?!?! Keeping schools closed after we have long-since learned that COVID is almost non-existant in children and not as dangerous for them as adults? This is what happens when you don’t use real thinking and real science in response to an event like COVID.

Now, after vapid rhetoric like ”If one life it lost it is too many” has taken hold in the collective psyche, the politicians that brought us to this point don’t know how to unwind the screw-ups. They know the media will find the one kid out of millions that will, for some reason, die of this illness and go ballistic on the town, county or state that says we need to face the risks.

Now that we are opening up in some places…

…we should be encouraged, right?

I want to say yes. But in almost every case we hear the underlying cowardice. Governors warn that “if the disease spikes”, we will have to shut down again.

This stay at home crap has done untold damage to the economy. If you think my priorities are screwed up consider how hospitals can stay open just treating COVID and not treating routine patients. There will come a tipping point, especially if we all hide under our beds again where there won’t be enough economic activity to sustain hospitals, police or most other critical activity.

I have a news flash for you. This thing WILL spike again. We can’t wait it out. We have to face the risk of getting sick and at the same time do what we can for the more vulnerable.

But IT WILL COME BACK! Get that through your head. It will still be here, chugging away when flu season starts. We cannot afford to retreat to the barracks again. And we won’t do ourselves a bit of good if we do. You need to have more fortitude than your politicians. So long as you buy into emotional sentiments like “I’ll die if I go to work” you are part of the wider problem that is COVID-19. You’re great grandmom might die if she went to work with you, so don’t invite her along. But you do her, your kids or yourself NO GOOD if you don’t get back in the game and stay in it.

Keep the ventilators and PPE coming! Get USNS COMFORT back to NY. You’re gonna need them. But please, no more shut downs and no more “stimulus”.